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Media thumps Trump, but polls show he’s winning big

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By Niall Stanage – 09/27/15 06:00 AM EDT

Rumors of Donald Trump’s demise may have been greatly exaggerated.

Ever since rival Carly Fiorina was widely perceived to have bested Trump at the second GOP debate in California on Sept. 16, media outlets have been lining up to suggest that the front-runner is waning.

Trump has hit back with characteristic vigor. But he has a point, independent observers say.

“The reality is that he does have a hold on some people and he doesn’t appear to be surrendering it,” said Mark Mellman, a veteran Democratic pollster who is also a columnist for The Hill.

Much of the negative media attention has been built around a single poll in the immediate aftermath of the debate, by CNN/ORC.

The survey showed the businessman’s support among Republican voters nationwide had declined by 8 percentage points since the last survey from the same source, less than two weeks before.

That was a sizable decline, to be sure — even though Trump still led his closest rival by 9 percentage points. But no other reputable poll since the debate has shown Trump falling by anything like that margin.

A survey from Fox News released earlier this week showed the businessman at 26 percent support nationally, an increase of 1 point since Fox’s last survey in mid-August. A Bloomberg poll gave him 21 percent — good enough for a 5-point lead over the field and an unchanged rating since the last poll from the financial news outlet at the beginning of August.

The picture is not substantially different in the crucial early states — and, in some cases, it is even better for Trump.

The Democratic-leaning firm Public Policy Polling (PPP) released a new survey from Iowa this week in which Trump polled at 24 percent — a 5-point rise over his showing in PPP’s previous poll of the Hawkeye State in the immediate aftermath of the first GOP debate on Aug. 6.

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/255032-media-thumps-trump-but-polls-show-hes-winning-big

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Trump on Boehner resignation: ‘It’s a good thing’

The Celebrity Apprentice

September 25, 2015, 11:44 am
By Jonathan Easley

Donald Trump said Friday it was time for Speaker John Boehner to go because he didn’t fight hard enough for conservative principles.

Mobbed by reporters outside the main ballroom at the Omni Shoreham Hotel in Washington ahead of his speech to the Values Voters Summit, the front-runner for the 2016 GOP nomination said Boehner’s announced resignation was “a good thing.”

“I think it’s time, it’s a good thing,” Trump said. “Someone else will come in and maybe they’ll have a tougher attitude.”

Asked by The Hill if Boehner fought sufficiently for conservative principles, Trump responded: “No, he didn’t. Not enough.”

“I don’t think he’s a conservative,” the celebrity real estate tycoon said of Boehner.

“I think it’s time for him [to move on] and the party and everybody,” Trump added

 

https://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/presidential-races/254944-trump-on-boehner-resignation-its-time

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Most Agree With Trump on America’s Lost Greatness, Bloomberg Poll Finds

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John McCormick

A national survey finds that 72 percent of Americans say their country isn’t as great as it once was—a central theme of front-runner Donald Trump’s campaign.

Americans are “fed up” with politics, suspect the wealthy are getting an unfair edge, and think the country is going in the wrong direction, according to a new Bloomberg Politics poll that lays bare the depth and breadth of the discontents propelling outsider candidates in the Republican presidential field.

The survey shows that 72 percent of Americans think their country isn’t as great as it once was—a central theme of front-runner Donald Trump’s campaign. More than a third prefer a presidential candidate without experience in public office.

Read the questions and methodology here.

Three of the four candidates leading the Republican field fit that description: Trump, the first choice of 21 percent of registered Republicans and voters who say they lean that way, followed by neurosurgeon Ben Carson with 16 percent, former Florida GovernorJeb Bush with 13 percent, and former Hewlett-Packard CEO Carly Fiorina with 11 percent.

Fiorina and Carson have seen the strongest gains among Republicans since the survey was taken a month ago. In the interim, voters have had their first extended looks at the candidates in two nationally televised debates. Fiorina’s numbers, at 1 percent in the August poll, leaped by 10 percentage points while Carson jumped 11 percentage points, up from 5 percent. Trump’s numbers have remained unchanged. Together, the three candidates who have never held political office account for 48 percent of the Republican vote.

https://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2015-09-24/most-agree-with-trump-on-america-s-lost-greatness-bloomberg-poll-finds

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PIPES: Obama: ‘My Muslim faith’

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President uses pious expressions with Muslims

By Daniel Pipes – – Tuesday, September 11, 2012

Editor’s Note: In this third of a five-part series, Middle East and Islam specialist Daniel Pipes continues his documentation of Barack Obama’s close ties to the Islamic religion, focusing here on statements he made as an adult.

Several statements by Barack Obama in recent years point to his Muslim childhood.

(1) Robert Gibbs, campaign communications director for PresidentObama’s first presidential race, asserted in January 2007: “Sen. Obamahas never been a Muslim, was not raised a Muslim, and is a committed Christian who attends the United Church of Christ in Chicago.” But he backtracked in March 2007, asserting that Mr. Obama “has never been a practicing Muslim.” By focusing on the practice as a child, the campaign is raising a nonissue, for Muslims (like Jews) do not consider practice central to religious identity. Mr. Gibbs added, according to a paraphrase by Paul Watson of the Los Angeles Times, that “as a child, Obama had spent time in the neighborhood’s Islamic center.” Clearly, “the neighborhood’s Islamic center” is a euphemism for a mosque. Spending time there again points to Mr. Obama’s being a Muslim.

(2) He may have made faces and horsed around in Koran class, but Mr. Obama learned how to pray the salat, a form of ritual worship, in religion class. Pak Effendi, his former teacher at Besuki, his school in Jakarta, Indonesia, recalls that he would “join the other pupils for Muslim prayers.” Praying the salat in and of itself made Mr. Obama a Muslim. Furthermore, he still proudly retains knowledge from that long-ago class. In March 2007, Nicholas D. Kristof of the New York Times witnessed asMr. Obama “recalled the opening lines of the Arabic call to prayer, reciting them [to Mr. Kristof] with a first-rate accent.” Mr. Obama recited not the salat itself but the adhan, the call to prayer (typically chanted from minarets). The second and third lines of the adhan constitute the Islamic declaration of faith, the shahada, the very utterance of which makes one a Muslim. The full adhan in its Sunni iteration (skipping the repetitions) goes as follows:

God is the greatest.

I testify that there is no deity but God.

I testify that Muhammad is the messenger of God.

Come to prayer.

Come to success.

God is the greatest.

There is no deity except God.

In the eyes of Muslims, reciting the adhan in class in 1970 made Mr. Obama a Muslim then — and doing so again for a journalist in 2007 once again made Mr. Obama a Muslim.

https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2012/sep/11/obama-my-muslim-faith/?page=all

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Trump sets the record straight on Obama Muslim comments

Trump 2016
September 19.2015

the staff of the Ridgewood blog

Ridgewood NJ, Trump sets the record straight on Obama Muslim comments. From Donald Trumps Facebook page :

Am I morally obligated to defend the President every time somebody says something bad or controversial about him? I don’t think so!

This is the first time in my life that I have caused controversy by NOT saying something .
If someone made a nasty or controversial statement about me to the President, do you really think he would come to my rescue? No chance!

If I would have challenged the man, the media would have accused me of interfering with that man’s right of free speech. A no win situation!  

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GOP debate ratings appear to set new CNN record

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DRUDGE POLL: TRUMP DOMINATES DEBATE POLL; FIORINA JUMPS; CRUZ, RUBIO HAVE PULSE
https://polldaddy.com/poll/9081166/?view=results

Wednesday’s GOP debate appears to be the highest-rated event in CNN’s history, according to preliminary Nielsen ratings.

The prime time debate averaged a 14.7 household rating, indicating that 1 in 7 American homes with TVs tuned in.

These are NFL-level ratings — affirming that the Donald Trump fueled Republican debate slate is one of the most popular television shows of the year.

The overnight ratings estimates are subject to adjustments. But the 14.7 rating is likely to translate to 20-plus million viewers once final viewership figures come out Thursday afternoon.

Fox’s GOP debate last month received a 16.0 preliminary rating the next morning. That number later extrapolated to 24 million live viewers. (Another 1.1 million viewers watched via DVRs.)

Fox’s debate was two hours long while CNN’s was three hours.

From a campaign’s perspective, longer might have been better, because it gave candidates more time to talk and argue. It also gave CNN more time for commercial breaks.

https://money.cnn.com/2015/09/17/media/cnn-republican-debate-ratings/index.html

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Thomas Sowell: Misinformed Electorate, Not Trump, Is Real Danger

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BY THOMAS SOWELL

In a country with more than 300 million people, it is remarkable how obsessed the media have become with just one — Donald Trump.

What is even more remarkable is that, after six years of repeated disasters, both domestically and internationally, under a glib egomaniac in the White House, so many potential voters are turning to another glib egomaniac to be his successor.

No doubt much of the stampede of Republican voters toward Trump is based on their disgust with the Republican establishment. The fact that the next two biggest vote getters in the polls are also complete outsiders — Ben Carson and Carly Fiorina — reinforces the idea this is a protest.

It is easy to understand why there would be pent-up resentments among Republican voters. But are elections held for the purpose of venting emotions?

No national leader ever aroused more fervent emotions than Adolf Hitler did in the 1930s. Watch some old newsreels of German crowds delirious with joy at the sight of him. The only things at all comparable in more recent times were the ecstatic crowds that greeted Barack Obama when he burst upon the political scene in 2008.

Read More At Investor’s Business Daily: https://news.investors.com/ibd-editorials-on-the-right/091415-770937-thomas-sowell-trump-obscures-worthier-candidates-but-only-because-public-is-poorly-informed.htm#ixzz3lqC9ekMW

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The Republican establishment is in DEEP trouble

Trump Hat Tom Brady's Locker

By Chris Cillizza September 15 at 11:32 AM

A majority of Republican registered voters want either Donald Trump or Ben Carson to be their party’s 2016 presidential nominee, according to two new national polls from the Washington Post-ABC News and the New York Times-CBS News.

Let that sink in for a minute.  Neither Trump, who made his name as a real estate mogul and reality star, nor Carson, a renowned pediatric neurosurgeon, have run for any office prior to their presidential candidacies. Both men have staked the entirety of their campaigns on the idea that they are the furthest thing possible from a traditional politician. And it is working for both of them. Big time.

While the rise of Trump tends to dominate the headlines, polls like these from The Post and the Times provide a reminder of the big picture here for the Republican party. And that big picture is simple: The GOP establishment is on the run, and there are few signs that its members have any sort of coherent strategy to deal with the massive uprising within its ranks.

t’s not only that 53 percent of Republican voters (in the Post poll) or 50 percent of GOP voters (in the Times poll) say they are for either Trump or Carson. It’s also how few Republican respondents in those same surveys say they are for the establishment choices. Jeb Bush, the man everyone assumed would be the race’s front-runner, clocks in at 8 percent in the Post poll and 6 percent (!) in the Times poll. Scott Walker, the guy who was supposed to challenge Bush for the top spot, takes 2 percent in both the Times and Post polls. Two.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2015/09/15/the-republican-establishment-is-in-deep-trouble/

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Wall Street’s latest panic: Trump could win

The Celebrity Apprentice

With Bush and Clinton taking their lumps, financial executives face populist critics in both parties.

By Ben White

09/14/15, 07:34 PM EDT

NEW YORK — Wall Street is growing increasingly terrified that Donald Trump — once viewed as an amusing summertime distraction — could actually win the Republican nomination for president.

The real estate billionaire, who took another populist shot on Sunday by ripping into lavish executive pay, continues to rise in the polls. Would-be Wall Street saviors like Jeb Bush are languishing in single digits. The belief that Trump’s candidacy would quickly fade is now evaporating in a wave of fear.

“I held four lunches for investors in August and at the first one everyone assumed Trump would implode,” said Byron Wien, vice chairman of Blackstone Advisory Partners and a senior figure on Wall Street. “By the fourth one everyone was taking him very seriously. He taps into frustrations that are very real and he is a master manipulator of the media.”

The CEO of one large Wall Street firm, who declined to be identified by name criticizing the GOP front-runner, said the assumption in the financial industry remains that something will eventually knock Trump off and send voters toward a more establishment candidate. But that assumption is no longer held with strong conviction. And a dozen Wall Street executives interviewed for this article could not say what might dent Trump’s appeal or when it might happen.

“I don’t know anyone who is a Donald Trump supporter. I don’t know anyone who knows anyone who is a Donald Trump supporter. They are like this huge mystery group,” the CEO said. “So it’s a combination of shock and bewilderment. No one really knows why this is happening. But my own belief is that the laws of gravity will apply and those who are prepared to run the marathon will benefit when Trump drops out at mile 22. Right now people think Trump is pretty hilarious but the longer it goes on the more frightening it gets.”

Read more: https://www.politico.com/story/2015/09/donald-trump-2016-wall-street-reaction-213614#ixzz3lpzy6VjU

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Trump: ‘I’m not going anywhere’

trump

September 14, 2015, 08:48 pm
By Kevin Cirilli

Republican presidential front-runner Donald Trump had a message to his critics at a massive, sold-out rally in Dallas on Monday: “I’m not going anywhere.”

“I’m not going anywhere and we’re not going anywhere,” Trump told a packed American Airlines Center, where an estimated 20,000 rallied.

“We are killing it. They mentioned a little while ago about the silent majority — it’s back. And it’s not silent. Maybe we should call it the noisy, aggressive, wanting to win — wanting-to-win majority.”

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Trump said that he is preparing for the second Republican presidential debate on Wednesday, and offered frequent criticism to his rival former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush.

“Who would you rather have negotiating — Jeb or Trump?” Trump asked.

Trump, who continues to lead his Republican rivals by wide margins, said that he will unveil a tax policy plan in about three weeks, reiterating that he wants to lower taxes for middle income Americans, while raising taxes on hedge fund companies. He hasn’t said how he’ll pay for it.

Trump said that he would be able to negotiate a deal with Congress to lower corporate taxes on international companies, who have had to change their corporate headquarters to overseas addresses to take advantage of lower rates.

https://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/253638-trump-im-not-going-anywhere

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Donald Trump: Nuclear deal calls for US to defend Iran against Israeli attack

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By JPOST.COM STAFF
09/03/2015

“If Israel attacks Iran according to that deal, I believe… that we have to fight with Iran against Israel,” Republican presidential candidate tells CNN.
In a telephone interview with CNN Tuesday, Republican presidential hopeful Donald Trump said that under the auspices of the Iran nuclear agreement, if Israel were to attack the Islamic Republic, the United States would have to come to the Tehran’s aid.

Trump has vocally opposed the deal since announcing his run for president, saying that the United States “should have doubled up the sanctions for another couple of months” and that the 24-day notice Iran receives before sites can be inspected is unacceptable.

But Trump added an unconventional twist to the opposition argument, suggesting that under the terms of the deal the United States was required to fight alongside Iran if Israel were to attack.

“You know, there is something in the Iran deal that people I don’t think really understand or know about,” the real estate mogul said. “And nobody is ever to explain it that if somebody attacks Iran, we have to come to their defense.”

Trump added, “And I’m saying this – that includes Israel? And most people say, yes. So, if Israel attacks Iran according to that deal, I believe… that we have to fight with Iran against Israel.”

In one of its annexes, the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action calls for cooperation by Western powers with Iran on nuclear safety “as appropriate.” Such cooperation may include training and workshops for Iran to ward against sabotage of its declared, legal civilian nuclear facilities.

https://www.jpost.com/landedpages/printarticle.aspx?id=415079

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How Trump won summer of 2015

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By Jonathan Easley – 08/31/15 07:37 PM EDT

The summer belonged to Donald Trump.

The billionaire businessman and reality TV star cemented his standing as the GOP frontrunner in August, kicking off the month with a feisty and unapologetic debate performance and closing it out with direct attacks to Jeb Bush.

He heads into the fall with momentum after having orchestrated what Republicans are describing as a months-long clinic in the race for the presidential nomination.

Trump is leading in the polls; blanketing the airwaves; relishing the role of attack dog against his opponents and the media, and forcing the other candidates to adapt to a race that’s being run on his terms.

He has perfected a style and message that resonates with the conservative base’s long-simmering frustration with party leadership. And he’s owned the hot-button issue of immigration, successfully driving the policy discussion to the right.

While Trump finished the month of July atop the polls nationally, few political watchers took his rise seriously.

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/252379-how-trump-won-the-summer-of-2015

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‘Pendulum Factor’ could land Trump in White House

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By Michael Goodwin

August 29, 2015 | 11:49pm

If you’re having trouble understanding the phenomenal rise of Donald Trump, buck up — you’re not alone. Even political pros are dumbfounded.

They were shocked when the reality-TV star and businessman first grabbed the lead in national GOP polls. Now they’re double shocked as he soars in primary states, grabbing a 24-point lead in New Hampshire and a 15-point lead in South Carolina.

In one survey, Trump more than doubled his favorability ratings among Republicans in a single month, from 20 percent to 52 percent. The Hill newspaper called the turnaround “political magic” and the poll’s director, Patrick Murray of Monmouth University, called it ­“astounding.”

“That defies any rule in presidential politics that I’ve ever seen,” Murray told The Hill.

Other pollsters made similar comments, but a closer look shows an explanation. I call it the Pendulum Factor.

It reflects the fact that the legacy of each president includes the political climate he leaves behind. In plain English, Barack Obama’s most ­important failures as a leader begat Donald Trump’s success.

A favorable legacy among voters generally means the public wants more of the same in the next president. The clearest example is that Vice President George H.W. Bush succeeded Ronald Reagan in 1988, an election widely regarded as Reagan’s third term.

On the other hand, George W. Bush narrowly defeated Vice President Al Gore in 2000, a disputed election that was nonetheless seen as a repudiation of the scandal-scarred Bill Clinton era.

https://nypost.com/2015/08/29/pendulum-factor-could-land-trump-in-white-house/?utm_campaign=SocialFlow&utm_source=NYPFacebook&utm_medium=SocialFlow

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Trump: I’m winning because Americans are ‘tired of being the patsies’

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August 29, 2015, 12:27 pm
By Mark Hensch

Republican presidential front-runner Donald Trump says he is leading the GOP race because he represents Americans who have had it with their nation coming up short.

“People in this country are smart,” he told listeners at the National Federation of Republican Assemblies’ 2015 conference in Nashville on Saturday.

“We’re tired of being the patsies for everyone,” Trump said.

“There is a big, big, growing-by-leaps-and-bounds silent majority out there. [The 2016 race] is going to be an election based on competence.”

Trump argued he is surging in national polls because he represents the Tea Party supporters ignored by Democrats and betrayed by Republicans.

“I love the Tea Party,” Trump said. “You people have not been treated fairly. These are people who work hard and love their country, and then get beat up by the media. It’s disgusting.”

“At least I have a microphone and can fight back,” the outspoken billionaire added.

https://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/gop-primaries/252250-trump-im-winning-because-americans-are-tired-of-being-the

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Trump: I swear my hair is real

Donald Trump, Mary Margaret Bannister

By Geoff Earle
August 27, 2015 | 4:32pm

WASHINGTON — The polls show Donald Trump is for real, and on Thursday, he set out to prove his hair is, too.

In his latest dizzying performance, the billionaire real-estate mogul ­defended his famous mane after The New York Times quoted a Spanish-language radio host who mocked him for supposedly wearing a hairpiece.

“I don’t wear a toupee. It’s my hair,” Trump told a South Carolina crowd of 1,800 during a free-association speech, as he gently brushed the front of his hair with his hand.

“You have to do an inspection — this is getting crazy,” Trump continued, to laughter. At that point, he invited a local woman on stage for an up-close exam.

She strode to the podium, scrutinized the top of Trump’s head as he leaned over and delivered the verdict: “Yes, I believe it is.”

It was just the latest in a growing body of evidence: An Iowa radio host rubbed Trump’s hair in January to confirm its authenticity

https://nypost.com/2015/08/27/trump-i-swear-my-hair-is-real/?utm_campaign=SocialFlow&utm_source=NYPFacebook&utm_medium=SocialFlow