The year of dollar danger for the world
We are entering a new financial order where there is no longer an automatic “Fed Put” or a “Poliburo Put” to act as a safety net for asset markets
By Ambrose Evans-Pritchard, International Business Editor
12:00PM GMT 01 Jan 2015
America’s closed economy can handle a surging dollar and a fresh cycle of rising interest rates. Large parts of the world cannot. That in a nutshell is the story of 2015.
Tightening by the US Federal Reserve will have turbo-charged effects on a global financial system addicted to zero rates and dollar liquidity.
Yields on 2-year US Treasuries have surged from 0.31pc to 0.74pc since October, and this is the driver of currency markets.
Since the New Year ritual of predictions is a time to throw darts, here we go: the dollar will hit $1.08 against the euro before 2015 is out, and 100 on the dollar index (DXY).
Sterling will buckle to $1.30 as a hung Parliament prompts global funds to ask why they are lending so freely to a country with a current account deficit reaching 6pc of GDP.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/economics/11312671/The-year-of-dollar-danger-for-the-world.html