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FBI’s Clinton probe is the black swan that could throw election off course, Citi says

black swan

Gemma Acton | @GemmaActon

FBI probe is black swan that will throw election off: Analyst  8 Hours Ago | 04:03

The unexpected announcement Friday that the FBI would review further emails from Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton in connection with its investigation into her use of a private email server is the “October surprise” that could throw the electoral race off course,according to a team of Citi analysts led by Chief Global Political Analyst Tina Fordham.

“In our view, these developments do constitute an ‘October surprise’that could have a meaningful impact on the race,” according to the new research note published on Monday.

Fordham’s team has consistently warned of the “extraordinarily high” risk of “black swan” events — such as scandals and “information warfare” — occurring during this fraught campaign, hence its reluctance to view a Clinton victory as confidently as many other pundits.

https://www.cnbc.com/2016/10/31/fbis-clinton-probe-is-the-black-swan-that-could-throw-election-off-course-citi-says.html

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Obama not briefed on FBI’s Clinton probe

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By Julian Hattem – 12/09/15 01:12 PM EST

President Obama does not receive briefings about the FBI’s investigation into the personal email setup Hillary Clinton used as secretary of State, bureau Director James Comey said on Wednesday.

As a result, Obama should have no way of knowing how the inquiry is proceeding, Comey told the Senate Judiciary Committee, despite the president’s apparent dismissal of concerns about impropriety.

The FBI’s examination of Clinton’s server, which held her private email account and has drawn intense criticism from Republicans and transparency advocates, has put the FBI in a tight spot.

In response, Comey has repeatedly attempted to shoot down concerns about political motivation in his bureau’s probe and fears that investigators will undermine evidence against Clinton or another Obama administration official.

“I hope the American people know the FBI well enough and the nature and character of this organization,” Comey told the Senate panel on Wednesday.

“As I’ve said many times, we don’t give a rip about politics,” he added. “We care about finding out what is true and doing that in a competent, honest and independent way. I promise you that’s the way we conduct ourselves.”

Conservatives expressed worry in October when Obama said that Clinton had made “a mistake”by using the private email address throughout her time at the State Department but that the behavior did not compromise official secrets.

“I can tell you that this is not a situation in which America’s national security was endangered,” Obama told CBS’s “60 Minutes.”

According to reports, Obama’s comments upset some FBI officials, who worried that it amounted to meddling in their investigation.

https://thehill.com/policy/national-security/262639-obama-not-briefed-on-clinton-investigation