Posted on

U.S. economy set to grow less than 3% for the 10th straight year

US President Obama waves from a golf cart in Kailua

Published: Dec 22, 2015 10:08 a.m. ET

The economy expanded a touch slower in the third quarter than previously reported, revised government figures show, but the path of growth is still the same: The U.S. running well below the historical norm more than six years into a recovery.

Gross domestic product — the sum of all the activity in an economy — increased at a 2% annual pace from July to September, according to the government’s latest update. Previously the Commerce Department had said the U.S. grew at a 2.1% rate after a 3.9% increase in the second quarter.

The slight downgrade was triggered by a larger trade deficit and a smaller buildup in inventories than earlier estimates showed.

The U.S. expanded at a 2.2% rate through the first nine months of the year, and the economy is projected to grow at a similar pace in the fourth quarter that ends on Dec. 31. If so, the economy will have failed to reach 3% growth for the 10th straight year, marking the slowest stretch since the end of World War II.

Historically the economy has expanded at a 3.3% rate.

The government’s second update on GDP growth reflected a somewhat worse trade picture in the late summer and early fall. Exports rose a slower 0.7% instead of an earlier 0.9% estimate. And imports climbed 2.3% instead of 2.1%.

Companies also rebuilt inventories somewhat less than the government had tallied.

The value of inventories increased $85.5 billion, down from a prior $90.2 billion estimate. Inventories had jumped by $113.5 billion in the second quarter when the economy expanded at a much faster 3.9% clip.

Spending on home construction rose at a faster 8.2% pace in the third quarter instead of 7.3%, the revised Commerce Department figures show.

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/third-quarter-gdp-growth-trimmed-to-2-2015-12-22

Posted on

Obamanomics : Middle class Americans ‘no longer majority’

US President Obama waves from a golf cart in Kailua

Middle class Americans ‘no longer majority’

Anmar Frangoul | Special to CNBC.com
CNBC.com

Middle class Americans are now outnumbered by those above and below them and are “falling behind financially”, according to new analysis of government data by the Pew Research Center.

The beginning of 2015 saw 120.8 million adults living in middle-income homes, compared with 121.3 million Americans living in lower and upper income households, a significant shift that “could signal a tipping point.”

According to Pew’s report, the 21st century has seen “middle-income Americans” fall behind financially. The median income of middle income households fell by 4 percent between the year 2000 and 2014, while median wealth – assets minus debts – fell by 28 percent between 2001 and 2013.

In 2015, 9 percent of Americans were seen as being in the highest income tier, “more than double the 4 percent share in 1971.” The percentage of American adults in the lowest income tier has also risen, from 16 percent in 1971 to 20 percent in 2015.

In 2015 12 percent of adults were living in the upper middle tier, up from 10 percent in 1971. Nine percent were seen as being in the lower middle tier, unchanged from 1971.

https://www.cnbc.com/2015/12/10/middle-class-americans-no-longer-majority.html

Posted on

STUCK ON STUPID : N.J. Senate committee examining state’s economic recovery

stooges

MARCH 31, 2015, 12:55 PM    LAST UPDATED: TUESDAY, MARCH 31, 2015, 12:57 PM

BY DUSTIN RACIOPPI
STATE HOUSE BUREAU |
THE RECORD

State senators are looking for answers why New Jersey has become an economic island of the Northeast as the country continues to recover from the Great Recession.

On the second day of testimony by state leaders on Governor Christie’s $33.8 budget for 2016, legislators focused Tuesday on New Jersey’s lagging comeback. David Rosen, the Office of Legislative Services’ budget officer, told the Senate Budget and Appropriations Committee that just five states – all in the south or west – have had a worse recovery from the economic crisis than New Jersey, while neighboring states, like New York, have had a strong rebound.

“What is it that we are doing wrong?” Sen. Jeff Van Drew, D-Cape May, asked Rosen.

There is no clear answer and there are a host of underlying factors, but the state’s substantial losses in the pharmaceutical and telecommunications industry — two sectors that brought enormous wealth and prosperity to the Garden State — have had a significant and long-lasting impact, Rosen said. The state is creating jobs, he said, “just at a slower pace.” The national unemployment rate, for example, is 5.5 percent, while New Jersey’s is 6.4 percent.

“It seems like we just haven’t come up with the next thing to drive the economy,” Rosen said.

In his budget analysis, Rosen noted New Jersey’s sluggish revenue growth, at an average of 2.4 percent a year since 2010. Since the end of the recession only the state’s sales tax has returned to its pre-recession peak, while gross income taxes have fallen short and corporate business taxes “remain well below the peak,” he said.

https://www.northjersey.com/news/n-j-senate-committee-examining-state-s-economic-recovery-1.1299491

Posted on

States rise up against Washington

images-2

images-2

States rise up against Washington

State legislators around the country have introduced more than 200 bills aiming to nullify regulations and laws coming out of Washington, D.C., as they look to rein in the federal government.

The legislative onslaught, which includes bills targeting federal restrictions on firearms, experimental treatments and hemp, reflects growing discord between the states and Washington, state officials say.

“You have a choice,” said Kentucky state Rep. Diane St. Onge (R). “To sit back and not do anything or say anything and let overregulation continue — or you have the alternative choice to speak up about it and say, ‘We know what you are doing or intend to do and we do not think that it is constitutional and we as a state are not going to stand for it.’ ”

Last month, St. Onge introduced H.B. 13 to nullify federal gun control laws within Kentucky state lines. Similar legislation has been introduced in seven other states.

“This law is saying the sheriff and those under him do not have to follow federal regulations,” she said.

https://thehill.com/regulation/legislation/232255-states-rising-up-against-washington

Posted on

NJ’s annual job growth slow, with some bright spots

imgres-15

imgres-15

NJ’s annual job growth slow, with some bright spots

JANUARY 23, 2015    LAST UPDATED: FRIDAY, JANUARY 23, 2015, 1:21 AM
BY HUGH R. MORLEY
STAFF WRITER |
THE RECORD

* State’s growth trails well behind nation’s

Four years after New Jersey reached its post-recession employment low, figures released Thursday show the state’s economic recovery continues to be slow.

The state added a modest 29,000 jobs in 2014, leaving employment far below its pre-recession peak and lower even than the level 14 years ago, according to the monthly employment report released by the New Jersey Department of Labor and Workforce Development.

The report showed New Jersey shed 400 jobs last month, even as national employment forged ahead strongly, adding 252,000 jobs in December. And although the state’s jobless rate dropped from 6.4 percent to 6.2 percent, it remains above the national figure of 5.6 percent.

The report, nevertheless, contained some positive elements, including the fact that the state added more jobs in 2014 than the previous year, despite the loss of thousands of casino jobs in Atlantic City, a very harsh winter and the lingering effects of Superstorm Sandy.

“It was a sustained, moderate pace of growth,” said Patrick O’Keefe, director of economic research at the accounting firm CohnReznick.

https://www.northjersey.com/news/business/n-j-jobs-slowly-rebound-1.1233381

Posted on

New Jersey loses jobs in October as it prepares for bond sale

US-VOTE-POLITICS-REPUBLICANS-CHRISTIE-FILES

New Jersey loses jobs in October as it prepares for bond sale
By By Hilary Russ | Reuters – 4 hours ago

(Reuters) – New Jersey’s economy showed more cracks on Thursday as the U.S. state with the second-lowest credit rating in the country reported 4,500 jobs lost in October and an upward tick in its unemployment rate.

The latest bad news broke a streak of much-needed labor market improvement that had been slow but steady for the Garden State, and it came in advance of a planned $525 million state borrowing on Dec. 3.

The unemployment rate rose by 0.1 percentage point to 6.6 percent in October. More than half of the jobs lost were in the private sector, particularly in construction, preliminary data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics showed.

A spate of casino closures in Atlantic City, which has suffered from increased competition in nearby states, also weighed on the state in October, as they did in September, said New Jersey labor spokesman Brian Murray.

Accommodation and food service jobs declined by 2,200 jobs in October, due in part to the closure of the Trump Plaza, he said.

The state has now recovered only 48 percent of the jobs it lost during the 2007-2009 recession, far less than New York and nationwide, according to the left-leaning research group New Jersey Policy Perspective.

Wall Street credit rating agencies have downgraded the state eight times because of its poor economic recovery and large public pension shortfalls. Governor Chris Christie, a potential 2016 Republican presidential candidate, took controversial actions – not putting the money into the pension system that the state was supposed to contribute – in the middle of a budget crunch this year.

https://ca.news.yahoo.com/jersey-loses-jobs-october-prepares-bond-sale-193419248.html

Posted on

Don’t blame the business people

CapitolBuildingofNewJersey-TrentonN

parasites and political clowns in Washington, Trenton

Don’t blame the business people

AUGUST 17, 2014    LAST UPDATED: MONDAY, AUGUST 18, 2014, 12:16 AM
SUBURBAN TRENDS
Print

Don’t blame the business people

Dear Editor:

A recent letter to the Suburban Trends expressed outrage that some business groups take their holdings offshore to avoid U.S. taxes.

The writer shows a complete ignorance of economics and a hostility to private business.

Business and industry flee America because of the anti-free market environment they have to deal with thanks to the politicians and unelected bureaucrats. No business leader in their right mind would want to set up shop where they will be penalized for being productive.

How many Americans know that the income tax, which we’ve been saddled with since 1913, has its origins in Karl Marx’s “Communist Manifesto” of 1848? “Comrade Karl” thought the income tax so important that it’s the number-two item (next to the abolition of private property) in his plan for a socialized all powerful centralized state!

Add in all the other unconstitutional agencies and bureaus like the EPA, FDA, BATF, and many, many more, and it isn’t hard to see why business leaves the United States.

It’s not just the bloated federal government that is to blame. We have tons of state, county, and local laws, taxes, and regulations across the land that stifle business. These petty local tyrants make life miserable for anyone trying to succeed in business development.

My father, retired construction official Gene Richards of West Milford, is a case in point, In 1998 he came out of retirement to serve on West Milford’s Zoning Board of Adjustment. It didn’t last long as he was thrown off for stating that zoning was a form of property rights violation by government. I don’t want to sound paranoid but I honestly think my pro-freedom libertarian activism over the years may have had something to do with it too. Nobody likes independent thinkers who see beyond the phony “Liberal” versus “Conservative” debates on various issues.

If you wish to bemoan America’s slow economic growth and decline, don’t blame business people. Rather focus on the parasites and political clowns in Washington, Trenton, and your local community who always want more “controls” on virtually everything. They are truly a menace! Vote them out ASAP!

Mark Richards,

West Milford

– See more at: https://www.northjersey.com/news/politics/don-t-blame-the-business-people-1.1068870 

Posted on

Garden State in dismal state

Route_17_Glen062_theridgewoodblog.net

file photo Boyd Loving

Garden State in dismal state
GREG DAVID 
JULY 6, 2014 12:01 A.M.

Chris Christie certainly has his troubles these days. A decline in tax revenue left him with a big hole in the budget for the just-ended fiscal year, which he closed by not making a big payment to the state’s beleaguered pension fund. His transportation-improvement fund is depleted, forcing him into maneuvers to grab Port Authority money to fix the Pulaski Skyway.

The list could go on, but the cause of all these woes is the same: a very poor economy. It’s why the governor doesn’t talk about the New Jersey miracle anymore.

The best way to compare economies these days is by their performance during the long and mostly painful recovery from the Great Recession. That’s what I have done for New Jersey, New York state and New York City in the chart accompanying this column. (The story would be the same if I compared Mr. Christie’s state with the country as a whole.)

 New JerseyNew YorkNew York City
Jobs lost in recession257,900330,200140,800
As percentage of all jobs6.3%3.7%3.7%
Jobs regained100,300524,600374,900
Percentage of lost jobs regained39%159%266%
Jobless rate peak9.7%8.9%10.0%
Jobless rate now6.8%6.7%7.9%
GDP 2010$493.2 billion$1,182.9 billion$509.1 billion
GDP in 2013$509.1 billion$1,226.7 billion$626.1 billion
Gain in GDP3.2%3.7%7.0%
Personal income growth14.2%15.3%12.7%
Change in home price from peak-20.1%0.0%Not available

Jobs and unemployment numbers are from peak month to lowest month to May and are seasonally adjusted. State jobs and unemployment numbers are from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. New York City jobs numbers are from independent economist Barbara Byrne Denham; unemployment rates from state Labor Department regional data. State GDP and personal income numbers are from Bureau of Economic Analysis. NYC GDP from city comptroller’s office. City personal income numbers from Office of Management and Budget February financial plan. Housing index from Corelogic from peak prices to April.

It isn’t a pretty picture. New Jersey has regained only a little more than a third of the jobs lost in the recession, and its GDP and personal-income growth is subpar. Housing prices are a particular problem. Only the decline in unemployment is a positive sign.

https://www.crainsnewyork.com/article/20140706/BLOGS01/140709942/garden-state-in-dismal-state#