Gemma Acton | @GemmaActon
FBI probe is black swan that will throw election off: Analyst 8 Hours Ago | 04:03
The unexpected announcement Friday that the FBI would review further emails from Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton in connection with its investigation into her use of a private email server is the “October surprise” that could throw the electoral race off course,according to a team of Citi analysts led by Chief Global Political Analyst Tina Fordham.
“In our view, these developments do constitute an ‘October surprise’that could have a meaningful impact on the race,” according to the new research note published on Monday.
Fordham’s team has consistently warned of the “extraordinarily high” risk of “black swan” events — such as scandals and “information warfare” — occurring during this fraught campaign, hence its reluctance to view a Clinton victory as confidently as many other pundits.
