COVID 19 Death toll Climbs but Significantly Lags Worst Case Scenarios

the staff of the Ridgewood blog

Ridgewood NJ, worse than an Al Gore “climate change ” model, on March 18th The Imperial College COVID-19 Response Team has published a report on epidemiolocal modelling of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) to reduce COVID-19 cases and deaths and the demand for healthcare. At the time they predicted COVID-19 predicted to infect 81% of U.S. population, cause 2.2 million deaths in U.S.

The US CDC updated its COVID-19 reporting website this week. On April 15, the CDC added demographic data for reported COVID-19 cases, and yesterday it included data on both confirmed and probable cases and deaths. Additionally, the CDC updated its map display to re-categorize states by total incidence (now separating states with 5,001-10,000 cases and 10,001 cases or more). The CDC reported 632,548 total cases (27,158 new; 632,220 confirmed; 348 probable) and 31,071 total deaths (6,489 new; 26,930 confirmed; 4,141 probable) on April 16. In total, 14 states reported more than 10,000 (zero new), and 34 states (1 new), plus Guam, are reporting widespread community transmission.The Johns Hopkins CSSE dashboard* is reporting 672,303 US cases and 33,898 deaths as of 12:45pm on April 17.*The Johns Hopkins CSSE also publishes US-specific data, at the county level, on a dedicated dashboard.

NJ Health Commissioner Judy Persichilli expects the rest of April and early May to be very busy for hospitals, but that models indicate a dip in the curve could come after that, she said at a news conference in Trenton with Gov. Phil Murphy.The state also saw 323 more deaths from the virus, putting the toll at 3,840 people total. More than 78,000 people have tested positive, up from about 75,000 the previous day, according to officials.

Some perspective from the CDC: