Category: Bergen County

by Jordan B Rickards

Ridgewood NJ, There’s a story that’s being largely ignored by everyone, and it’s that Democrat party affiliation has tanked in recent months, after almost always being positive. In October, Democrats had an +8% advantage over Republicans in terms of which party Americans identify as (calculated simply as % Democrat minus % Republican = net +8 for Democrats), according to Gallup. This is a monthly tracking poll, and during the last three presidential elections, consisting of 45 total months of data, the Democrats have only had a negative rating versus the Republicans in 2 of those months, and even then they were just slightly negative, and it was early on in the campaigns, in September and October. Other than that, the Dems have been positive the whole time, and usually by a comfortable margin. In 2008, the Democrats were +14 at this point in the election cycle, and would peak at +18. Today they are -3, down from +8 in October, to +2 in November, to -2 in December and January. (The grey line on the graph clearly shows the Dems consistently under-performing the last three election cycles). Meanwhile, Trump’s approval has popped to 49% according to Gallup. It’s almost like the more the country sees what the Democrats actually are, instead of just thinking of them in hypothetical terms, the more the country is rejecting them. And the more Trump is secondary news to the Democrats’ dysfunction and extremism, and the more the country does well under him and all those apocalyptic predictions about his presidency prove to be the hyperbole they were, the more Trump becomes popular.

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